Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 60.3%
OTT: 39.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.34
OTT: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | SJS | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.895 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SJS at home vs OTT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-22 | SJS 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | SJS |
| 2025-03-01 | OTT 5 - 3 SJS | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-27 | SJS 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | SJS |
| 2024-03-09 | SJS 2 - 1 OTT | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-01-13 | OTT 5 - 4 SJS | OTT | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:35 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 13:56 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:19 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:22 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 04:48 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 12:32 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:48 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9