Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-11-27 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 29.5%
OTT: 70.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.81
OTT: 3.45
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | SJS | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.857 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs OTT: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | OTT 7 - 4 SJS | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-11-22 | SJS 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-03-01 | OTT 5 - 3 SJS | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-11-27 | SJS 3 - 4 OTT | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-09 | SJS 2 - 1 OTT | SJS | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:35 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 13:56 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:19 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:22 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 04:48 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 12:32 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 15:48 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.