New York Rangers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 1 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 56.3%
NYR: 43.7%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.54
NYR: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 8.0
Over 5.5: 78%
Over 6.5: 67%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | PHI | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.750 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PHI at home vs NYR: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | PHI 2 - 6 NYR | NYR | PHI |
| 2026-02-26 | NYR 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | NYR |
| 2026-01-17 | PHI 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | PHI |
| 2025-12-20 | NYR 5 - 4 PHI | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-04-09 | NYR 5 - 8 PHI | PHI | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:14 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 04:24 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:20 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 19:32 | PHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 1 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.5 - 3.2
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