Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

MIN: 67.8%

CHI: 32.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.98

CHI: 2.20

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	23	21	2	91.3%	1.95	0	-0.05
CHI	Petr Mrazek	29	26	3	89.7%	2.25	1	-0.75

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • MIN at home vs CHI: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	14	0	0.76
1	CHI	7	0	0.69
2	MIN	8	1	0.69
2	CHI	15	0	0.88
3	MIN	19	0	0.80
3	CHI	11	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.0 - 2.2