Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 53.0%

VAN: 47.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.49

VAN: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-06	BUF 5 - 3 VAN	BUF	BUF
2025-12-11	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-01-21	VAN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	VAN
2024-11-29	BUF 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	BUF
2024-03-19	VAN 3 - 2 BUF	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	0	0.83
1	VAN	10	0	0.19
2	BUF	14	0	0.74
2	VAN	14	1	0.98
3	BUF	23	0	0.98
3	VAN	7	2	0.76
4	BUF	2	0	0.16
4	VAN	2	1	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0