Vancouver Canucks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 53.0%
VAN: 47.0%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.13
VAN: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | BUF | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs VAN: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-06 | BUF 5 - 3 VAN | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-12-11 | VAN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | VAN |
| 2025-01-21 | VAN 2 - 3 BUF | BUF | VAN |
| 2024-11-29 | BUF 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | BUF |
| 2024-03-19 | VAN 3 - 2 BUF | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:33 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 18:12 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:15 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 09:00 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 13:18 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 14:57 | BUF | Goal |
| 4 | 03:59 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9
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