New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

DET: 37.9%

NJD: 62.1%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.85

NJD: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 39%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	29	24	5	82.8%	4.99	6	-0.01
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	28	24	4	85.7%	2.54	0	-1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DET at home vs NJD: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	DET
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	NJD
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	18	0	1.01
1	NJD	14	2	1.31
2	DET	12	0	0.72
2	NJD	26	3	2.57
3	DET	13	0	0.80
3	NJD	12	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2