Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 66.2%
FLA: 33.8%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.84
FLA: 3.35
Total Goals
Median: 8.3
Over 5.5: 83%
Over 6.5: 72%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | CAR | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-16 | CAR 9 - 1 FLA | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-23 | CAR 2 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-12-19 | FLA 4 - 3 CAR | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-28 | CAR 3 - 5 FLA | FLA | CAR |
| 2025-05-26 | FLA 0 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:26 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:42 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 09:05 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 11:21 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:24 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 17:18 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:58 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:08 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:53 | FLA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 66.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.8 - 3.4
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.