Florida Panthers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 68.2%

FLA: 31.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.10

FLA: 2.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

CAR

Spencer Martin - 7-9-2 | 0.889 SV% | 3.30 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Spencer Martin	30	24	6	80.0%	2.80	1	-3.20
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	28	3	90.3%	2.52	0	-0.48

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • CAR at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-16	CAR 9 - 1 FLA	CAR	CAR
2025-12-23	CAR 2 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-12-19	FLA 4 - 3 CAR	FLA	CAR
2025-05-28	CAR 3 - 5 FLA	FLA	CAR
2025-05-26	FLA 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	18	0	1.20
1	FLA	12	0	0.56
2	CAR	19	0	0.77
2	FLA	12	0	0.48
3	CAR	13	0	0.55
3	FLA	19	1	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 7.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 4.1 - 3.0