Tampa Bay Lightning at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 45.0%
TBL: 55.0%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.14
TBL: 3.29
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | NSH | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.884 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NSH at home vs TBL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | TBL 3 - 2 NSH | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-28 | NSH 2 - 5 TBL | TBL | NSH |
| 2024-11-29 | NSH 2 - 3 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-28 | TBL 3 - 2 NSH | TBL | TBL |
| 2023-12-07 | NSH 5 - 1 TBL | NSH | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:23 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 04:06 | NSH | Goal |
| 2 | 08:18 | TBL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:20 | NSH | Goal |
| 4 | 01:01 | TBL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 2 - 3 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.