Los Angeles Kings at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 29.3%
LAK: 70.7%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.24
LAK: 2.99
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
LAK
E. Portillo
| Stat | ANA | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.54 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | John Gibson | 18 | 16 | 2 | 88.9% | 3.04 | 3 | 1.04 |
| LAK | E. Portillo | 31 | 30 | 1 | 96.8% | 3.08 | 1 | 2.08 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • ANA at home vs LAK: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | ANA 2 - 1 LAK | ANA | LAK |
| 2026-01-16 | LAK 2 - 3 ANA | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-12-27 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-28 | ANA 5 - 4 LAK | ANA | LAK |
| 2025-04-10 | LAK 6 - 1 ANA | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ANA | 20 | 0 | 1.23 |
| 1 | LAK | 14 | 0 | 0.76 |
| 2 | ANA | 15 | 1 | 0.71 |
| 2 | LAK | 11 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 3 | ANA | 17 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 3 | LAK | 11 | 3 | 1.56 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 70.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.2 - 3.0
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