Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 8 - 5 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 42.3%
SEA: 57.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 3.21
SEA: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SJS at home vs SEA: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | SJS 2 - 4 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-15 | SEA 4 - 1 SJS | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-11-05 | SEA 1 - 6 SJS | SJS | SEA |
| 2025-04-05 | SJS 1 - 5 SEA | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-01-30 | SEA 6 - 2 SJS | SEA | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 17 | 1 | 1.30 |
| 1 | SEA | 23 | 0 | 1.15 |
| 2 | SJS | 11 | 0 | 0.36 |
| 2 | SEA | 16 | 2 | 1.61 |
| 3 | SJS | 9 | 1 | 0.55 |
| 3 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.43 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 13.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 8 - 5 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.2 - 3.4
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