Seattle Kraken at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 8 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

SJS: 50.2%

SEA: 49.8%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.17

SEA: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 38%

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	31	26	5	83.9%	3.19	2	-1.81
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	27	19	8	70.4%	2.21	2	-5.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • SJS at home vs SEA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	SJS 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-15	SEA 4 - 1 SJS	SEA	SEA
2025-11-05	SEA 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	SEA
2025-04-05	SJS 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-30	SEA 6 - 2 SJS	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	17	1	1.30
1	SEA	23	0	1.15
2	SJS	11	0	0.36
2	SEA	16	2	1.61
3	SJS	9	1	0.55
3	SEA	11	0	0.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 8 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.2 - 3.4