Pittsburgh Penguins at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 56.6%
PIT: 43.4%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.69
PIT: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | BOS | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.947 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 29% • BOS at home vs PIT: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | BOS 1 - 0 PIT | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-13 | PIT 1 - 4 BOS | BOS | PIT |
| 2025-03-01 | PIT 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | PIT |
| 2024-11-29 | BOS 1 - 2 PIT | PIT | BOS |
| 2024-04-13 | PIT 4 - 6 BOS | BOS | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:24 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:59 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 07:26 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.7 - 3.0