Edmonton Oilers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-11-29 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 27.6%
EDM: 72.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.49
EDM: 3.70
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | UTA | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.781 | 0.837 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs EDM: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | UTA 6 - 5 EDM | UTA | UTA |
| 2026-03-24 | UTA 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-28 | EDM 6 - 3 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-18 | EDM 7 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-31 | EDM 4 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:17 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 17:15 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 09:44 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:01 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 16:22 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 03:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 4 | 01:18 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 72.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.5 - 3.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.