Edmonton Oilers at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-11-29 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

UTA: 29.6%

EDM: 70.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.50

EDM: 3.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 39%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

EDM

Calvin Pickard - 4-5-2 | 0.874 SV% | 3.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	32	28	4	87.5%	2.89	2	-1.11
EDM	Calvin Pickard	31	28	3	90.3%	2.77	2	-0.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	UTA 6 - 5 EDM	UTA	UTA
2026-03-24	UTA 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-28	EDM 6 - 3 UTA	EDM	EDM
2025-03-18	EDM 7 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM
2024-12-31	EDM 4 - 1 UTA	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	17	2	1.37
1	EDM	9	1	0.94
2	UTA	16	0	0.86
2	EDM	11	1	0.90
3	UTA	12	0	0.55
3	EDM	17	0	0.63
4	UTA	0	0	0.00
4	EDM	3	0	0.42

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4