Washington Capitals at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-11-30 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 58.9%

WSH: 41.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.60

WSH: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs WSH: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	NJD 7 - 3 WSH	NJD	NJD
2026-03-20	WSH 2 - 1 NJD	WSH	NJD
2025-12-27	NJD 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	NJD
2025-11-15	WSH 2 - 3 NJD	NJD	WSH
2024-11-30	NJD 5 - 6 WSH	WSH	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.51
1	WSH	21	1	1.92
2	NJD	14	1	0.99
2	WSH	20	1	1.12
3	NJD	15	2	1.67
3	WSH	9	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 5 - 6 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.6 - 3.2