Calgary Flames at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-11-30 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 59.3%
CGY: 40.7%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.45
CGY: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.877 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | CGY 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | CGY |
| 2026-01-10 | PIT 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | PIT |
| 2024-11-30 | PIT 6 - 2 CGY | PIT | PIT |
| 2024-10-22 | CGY 4 - 3 PIT | CGY | CGY |
| 2024-03-02 | CGY 4 - 3 PIT | CGY | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:14 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 02:40 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:02 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 05:25 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 07:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:27 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:05 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:23 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8