Ottawa Senators at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2024-11-30 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 49.3%
OTT: 50.7%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.47
OTT: 3.09
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 38%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs OTT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-24 | LAK 2 - 1 OTT | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-15 | OTT 0 - 1 LAK | LAK | OTT |
| 2024-11-30 | LAK 5 - 2 OTT | LAK | OTT |
| 2024-10-14 | OTT 8 - 7 LAK | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-03-07 | LAK 4 - 3 OTT | LAK | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LAK | 10 | 0 | 0.64 |
| 1 | OTT | 10 | 0 | 0.57 |
| 2 | LAK | 14 | 1 | 0.88 |
| 2 | OTT | 15 | 0 | 0.74 |
| 3 | LAK | 17 | 2 | 1.78 |
| 3 | OTT | 11 | 0 | 0.61 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 5 - 2 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.5 - 3.1
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