Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-11-30 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 54.6%
EDM: 45.4%
Expected Goals
COL: 2.90
EDM: 3.02
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | COL | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.951 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.964 | 0.917 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • COL at home vs EDM: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | EDM 1 - 2 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-10 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | COL |
| 2025-11-08 | EDM 1 - 9 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-02-07 | EDM 4 - 5 COL | COL | EDM |
| 2025-01-16 | COL 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:02 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 11:48 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:48 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 03:56 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 18:28 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 1 - 4 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0
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