Vancouver Canucks at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-12-01 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

DET: 50.0%

VAN: 50.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.10

VAN: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

DET

Cam Talbot - 11-6-3 | 0.888 SV% | 2.99 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Cam Talbot	32	27	5	84.4%	3.16	2	-1.84
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	31	27	4	87.1%	3.63	4	-0.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs VAN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	DET 5 - 1 VAN	DET	DET
2025-12-08	VAN 0 - 4 DET	DET	DET
2025-02-02	VAN 2 - 3 DET	DET	VAN
2024-12-01	DET 4 - 5 VAN	VAN	VAN
2024-02-15	VAN 4 - 1 DET	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	2	1.17
1	VAN	9	0	0.52
2	DET	11	1	0.91
2	VAN	22	1	1.52
3	DET	18	1	1.48
3	VAN	16	1	0.73
4	DET	1	0	0.07
4	VAN	3	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2