Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-01 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 62.7%
OTT: 37.3%
Expected Goals
ANA: 3.00
OTT: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | ANA | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.920 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs OTT: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-20 | ANA 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | ANA |
| 2024-12-11 | OTT 5 - 1 ANA | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-01 | ANA 4 - 3 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-03-06 | ANA 2 - 1 OTT | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-02-15 | OTT 1 - 5 ANA | ANA | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:45 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 17:36 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:54 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 04:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:46 | ANA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | ANA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9