Ottawa Senators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-12-01 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 47.3%

OTT: 52.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.11

OTT: 3.32

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs OTT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	1	1.04
1	OTT	17	1	1.36
2	ANA	17	0	0.98
2	OTT	14	1	1.51
3	ANA	9	0	0.31
3	OTT	19	1	0.77
4	ANA	5	0	0.39
4	OTT	3	0	0.18
5	ANA	3	2	1.89
5	OTT	2	0	0.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3