New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-12-02 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYR: 40.5%

NJD: 59.5%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.54

NJD: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	28	23	5	82.1%	3.59	3	-1.41
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	39	38	1	97.4%	3.49	1	2.49

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NYR at home vs NJD: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	1	1.23
1	NJD	13	1	1.18
2	NYR	20	0	1.60
2	NJD	20	2	2.13
3	NYR	15	0	0.66
3	NJD	7	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.5 - 3.3