Chicago Blackhawks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-12-02 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

TOR: 71.4%

CHI: 28.6%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.25

CHI: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • TOR at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	TOR 3 - 2 CHI	TOR	TOR
2025-11-15	CHI 3 - 2 TOR	CHI	TOR
2025-02-23	CHI 2 - 5 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-12-02	TOR 4 - 1 CHI	TOR	TOR
2023-11-24	CHI 4 - 3 TOR	CHI	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	14	0	1.24
1	CHI	11	1	0.93
2	TOR	7	0	0.53
2	CHI	18	0	1.22
3	TOR	9	2	1.99
3	CHI	11	1	0.95

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6