Dallas Stars at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-12-02 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 57.9%

DAL: 42.1%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.01

DAL: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • UTA at home vs DAL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	DAL 3 - 6 UTA	UTA	DAL
2026-01-31	UTA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	UTA
2026-01-15	UTA 2 - 1 DAL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-28	DAL 4 - 3 UTA	DAL	UTA
2025-04-12	DAL 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	17	2	1.80
1	DAL	14	0	0.85
2	UTA	14	1	0.86
2	DAL	10	0	0.52
3	UTA	15	1	0.70
3	DAL	10	0	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2