Dallas Stars at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-12-02 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 54.6%
DAL: 45.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.83
DAL: 3.20
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | UTA | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.932 | 0.912 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • UTA at home vs DAL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | UTA 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | UTA |
| 2026-01-15 | UTA 2 - 1 DAL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-28 | DAL 4 - 3 UTA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-04-12 | DAL 3 - 5 UTA | UTA | DAL |
| 2025-01-04 | DAL 3 - 2 UTA | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19:17 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:07 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:57 | DAL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 2 Dallas Stars
Expected: 2.8 - 3.2