Colorado Avalanche at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-12-03 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 48.1%
COL: 51.9%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.96
COL: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 44%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | BUF | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.964 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BUF at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | COL 6 - 3 BUF | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-13 | BUF 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-01-02 | COL 6 - 5 BUF | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-03 | BUF 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2023-12-13 | COL 5 - 1 BUF | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:22 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 06:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 06:50 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:49 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 02:24 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 01:19 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 04:30 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 07:39 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 15:38 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 3.0
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