New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 1 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 45.9%

NYI: 54.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.94

NYI: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MTL at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NYI 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NYI
2026-03-21	MTL 7 - 3 NYI	MTL	MTL
2026-02-26	MTL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MTL
2025-03-20	NYI 4 - 3 MTL	NYI	MTL
2024-12-03	MTL 2 - 1 NYI	MTL	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	14	0	0.98
1	NYI	7	0	0.35
2	MTL	13	0	0.57
2	NYI	20	2	2.42
3	MTL	12	1	0.94
3	NYI	8	1	0.79
4	MTL	3	0	0.25
4	NYI	3	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 2 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3