Florida Panthers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PIT: 53.1%

FLA: 46.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.68

FLA: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • PIT at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	11	0	0.60
1	FLA	22	0	1.01
2	PIT	10	0	0.58
2	FLA	17	0	0.69
3	PIT	10	0	0.55
3	FLA	20	1	1.19
4	PIT	1	0	0.07
4	FLA	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.7 - 3.2