Seattle Kraken at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-03 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 67.5%

SEA: 32.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.67

SEA: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 46%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	28	24	4	85.7%	3.91	5	-0.09
SEA	Joey Daccord	19	17	2	89.5%	2.00	1	-0.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs SEA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	SEA 2 - 1 CAR	SEA	CAR
2026-01-10	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR
2024-12-03	CAR 2 - 4 SEA	SEA	CAR
2024-10-26	SEA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2023-10-26	CAR 3 - 2 SEA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	7	0	0.44
1	SEA	8	0	0.40
2	CAR	4	0	0.10
2	SEA	19	1	1.37
3	CAR	19	1	1.45
3	SEA	12	4	2.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8