St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2024-12-03 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 59.6%
STL: 40.4%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.05
STL: 2.82
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | WPG | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.962 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 81% • WPG at home vs STL: 8-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | WPG 3 - 1 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-17 | STL 1 - 0 WPG | STL | STL |
| 2025-05-04 | WPG 4 - 3 STL | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-05-02 | STL 5 - 2 WPG | STL | STL |
| 2025-04-30 | WPG 5 - 3 STL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:04 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:43 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:38 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:45 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:21 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 2.8