Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2024-12-04 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

TOR: 57.9%

NSH: 42.1%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.18

NSH: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TOR at home vs NSH: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	NSH 5 - 3 TOR	NSH	NSH
2025-10-14	TOR 7 - 4 NSH	TOR	TOR
2025-03-22	NSH 5 - 2 TOR	NSH	NSH
2024-12-04	TOR 3 - 2 NSH	TOR	TOR
2023-12-09	TOR 4 - 0 NSH	TOR	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	15	1	0.88
1	NSH	13	1	1.30
2	TOR	10	0	0.30
2	NSH	11	0	0.67
3	TOR	13	2	1.66
3	NSH	18	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1