Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2024-12-04 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 58.2%
NSH: 41.8%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.60
NSH: 2.51
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 28-21-8 | 0.894 SV% | 3.13 GAA
| Stat | TOR | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.884 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • TOR at home vs NSH: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-20 | NSH 5 - 3 TOR | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-10-14 | TOR 7 - 4 NSH | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-03-22 | NSH 5 - 2 TOR | NSH | NSH |
| 2024-12-04 | TOR 3 - 2 NSH | TOR | TOR |
| 2023-12-09 | TOR 4 - 0 NSH | TOR | TOR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:26 | NSH | Goal |
| 3 | 00:31 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:29 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 05:06 | TOR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:38 | TOR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 2 Nashville Predators
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.