Winnipeg Jets at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2024-12-05 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 47.0%
WPG: 53.0%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.46
WPG: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 4.2
Over 5.5: 33%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | BUF | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.867 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs WPG: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | WPG 4 - 1 BUF | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-12-01 | BUF 5 - 1 WPG | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-23 | WPG 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | WPG |
| 2024-12-05 | BUF 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-03 | BUF 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 04:14 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:29 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:06 | BUF | Goal |
| 4 | 03:59 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 2.5 - 3.2
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.