BUF vs WPG - 2024-12-05
2024-12-05 • KeyBank Center
BUF 2 - 3 WPG
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 51.2%
WPG: 48.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.82
WPG: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 10-6-3 | 0.906 SV% | 2.82 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 10-12-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:27 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 04:14 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:29 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 03:06 | BUF | Goal |
| 4 | 03:59 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
BUF 2 - 3 WPG
Expected: 2.8 - 3.1