Florida Panthers at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 7 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

PHI: 45.2%

FLA: 54.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.21

FLA: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs FLA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	PHI
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	13	0	0.63
1	FLA	9	0	0.62
2	PHI	19	0	1.01
2	FLA	19	1	1.63
3	PHI	14	1	0.82
3	FLA	13	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 5 - 7 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0