Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2024-12-05 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 62.9%
COL: 37.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.25
COL: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | CAR | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.821 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs COL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CAR 3 - 5 COL | COL | CAR |
| 2025-10-23 | COL 4 - 5 CAR | CAR | COL |
| 2024-12-05 | CAR 5 - 3 COL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-11-09 | COL 6 - 4 CAR | COL | COL |
| 2024-02-08 | CAR 5 - 2 COL | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:13 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 16:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 04:09 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 06:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 17:49 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:13 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 19:44 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.3 - 2.6