Colorado Avalanche at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

CAR: 53.6%

COL: 46.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.54

COL: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CAR 3 - 5 COL	COL	CAR
2025-10-23	COL 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-05	CAR 5 - 3 COL	CAR	CAR
2024-11-09	COL 6 - 4 CAR	COL	CAR
2024-02-08	CAR 5 - 2 COL	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	21	2	1.61
1	COL	7	0	0.69
2	CAR	19	0	1.02
2	COL	10	1	0.59
3	CAR	15	3	1.90
3	COL	10	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2