Seattle Kraken at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 57.2%

SEA: 42.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.25

SEA: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 36%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	25	20	5	80.0%	3.28	3	-1.72
SEA	Joey Daccord	29	27	2	93.1%	2.35	2	0.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs SEA: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-21	SEA 4 - 1 NYI	SEA	NYI
2025-11-23	NYI 1 - 0 SEA	NYI	NYI
2024-12-05	NYI 2 - 5 SEA	SEA	NYI
2024-11-16	SEA 3 - 2 NYI	SEA	NYI
2024-02-13	NYI 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	15	1	0.61
1	SEA	14	0	0.73
2	NYI	8	0	0.38
2	SEA	16	1	0.89
3	NYI	20	1	1.37
3	SEA	15	2	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 5 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6