St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-12-05 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 55.4%

STL: 44.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.30

STL: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • CGY at home vs STL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	21	2	1.50
1	STL	9	0	0.71
2	CGY	12	0	0.62
2	STL	15	2	1.15
3	CGY	15	0	0.83
3	STL	9	1	0.48
4	CGY	3	0	0.26
4	STL	3	1	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7