Columbus Blue Jackets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-12-06 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

VAN: 72.3%

CBJ: 27.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 4.30

CBJ: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	32	30	2	93.8%	2.53	1	0.53
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	17	12	5	70.6%	3.55	4	-1.45

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • VAN at home vs CBJ: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	CBJ 4 - 1 VAN	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-08	VAN 4 - 3 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2025-03-28	CBJ 7 - 6 VAN	CBJ	VAN
2024-12-06	VAN 5 - 2 CBJ	VAN	VAN
2024-01-27	VAN 5 - 4 CBJ	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	7	1	0.44
1	CBJ	27	1	1.15
2	VAN	13	0	0.74
2	CBJ	19	0	0.78
3	VAN	13	3	2.37
3	CBJ	10	0	0.60

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 4.3 - 2.7