Minnesota Wild at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-12-06 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 56.9%
MIN: 43.1%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.86
MIN: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | ANA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.853 | 0.929 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs MIN: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-02 | ANA 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | ANA |
| 2025-11-15 | MIN 2 - 0 ANA | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-04-15 | MIN 3 - 2 ANA | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-12-06 | ANA 1 - 5 MIN | MIN | ANA |
| 2024-11-08 | ANA 2 - 5 MIN | MIN | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 08:03 | MIN | Goal |
| 2 | 04:22 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 16:37 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 01:21 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 1 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9