Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-12-07 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 59.9%
PHI: 40.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.23
PHI: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | BOS | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.904 | 0.962 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | PHI 2 - 1 BOS | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-02-28 | PHI 3 - 1 BOS | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-01-29 | BOS 6 - 3 PHI | BOS | PHI |
| 2024-12-07 | BOS 4 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-02 | PHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:24 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:24 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 05:26 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:29 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 05:18 | PHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:38 | BOS | Goal |
| 4 | 02:49 | BOS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
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