Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 49.7%

PHI: 50.3%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.16

PHI: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	1	0.91
1	PHI	9	0	0.82
2	BOS	12	0	0.79
2	PHI	16	0	0.76
3	BOS	16	1	1.46
3	PHI	12	0	0.59
4	BOS	1	0	0.07
4	PHI	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 4 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0