Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

OTT: 61.6%

NSH: 38.4%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.09

NSH: 2.56

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Linus Ullmark	37	36	1	97.3%	2.82	1	1.82
NSH	Juuse Saros	30	27	3	90.0%	3.14	2	0.14

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT
2024-02-27	NSH 4 - 1 OTT	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	14	0	0.58
1	NSH	12	1	0.79
2	OTT	16	1	1.17
2	NSH	18	0	0.69
3	OTT	12	1	1.39
3	NSH	23	0	1.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6