St. Louis Blues at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-12-07 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

EDM: 67.8%

STL: 32.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.85

STL: 2.45

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

EDM

Stuart Skinner - 26-18-4 | 0.896 SV% | 2.81 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Stuart Skinner	31	29	2	93.5%	2.75	2	0.75
STL	Jordan Binnington	21	17	4	81.0%	3.05	2	-0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs STL: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	10	1	0.76
1	STL	15	0	0.68
2	EDM	15	1	1.43
2	STL	12	0	0.48
3	EDM	11	0	0.85
3	STL	18	2	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.8 - 2.4