Tampa Bay Lightning at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2024-12-08 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 41.1%
TBL: 58.9%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.16
TBL: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 4.1
Over 5.5: 28%
Over 6.5: 18%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-27-5 | 0.875 SV% | 3.70 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | VAN | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.885 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.872 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.869 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 3.41 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs TBL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | VAN 2 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-11-16 | TBL 2 - 6 VAN | VAN | TBL |
| 2024-12-08 | VAN 2 - 4 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-15 | TBL 4 - 1 VAN | TBL | TBL |
| 2023-12-12 | VAN 4 - 1 TBL | VAN | VAN |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.1
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 2 - 4 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 2.2 - 2.9
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