New York Islanders at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-12-08 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 4 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 55.9%

NYI: 44.1%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.40

NYI: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • OTT at home vs NYI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	16	1	1.03
1	NYI	9	1	0.73
2	OTT	13	0	0.91
2	NYI	7	0	0.42
3	OTT	16	0	1.03
3	NYI	10	3	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2