Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-12-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.3%

COL: 39.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.99

COL: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	24	20	4	83.3%	2.60	1	-1.40
COL	Scott Wedgewood	25	25	0	100.0%	2.80	2	2.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs COL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	1	1.42
1	COL	10	0	0.56
2	NJD	3	0	0.04
2	COL	23	0	1.33
3	NJD	15	1	1.34
3	COL	7	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1