Colorado Avalanche at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-12-08 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 61.9%

COL: 38.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.37

COL: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs COL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	COL 8 - 4 NJD	COL	COL
2025-10-26	NJD 4 - 3 COL	NJD	COL
2025-02-26	COL 5 - 1 NJD	COL	COL
2024-12-08	NJD 0 - 4 COL	COL	NJD
2024-02-06	NJD 5 - 3 COL	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	1	1.42
1	COL	10	0	0.56
2	NJD	3	0	0.04
2	COL	23	0	1.33
3	NJD	15	1	1.34
3	COL	7	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0