Utah Hockey Club at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-12-08 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 51.5%
UTA: 48.5%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.73
UTA: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 29%
Over 6.5: 18%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | PHI | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.909 | 0.862 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs UTA: 0-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | PHI 0 - 3 UTA | UTA | PHI |
| 2026-01-21 | UTA 5 - 4 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-02-04 | UTA 3 - 2 PHI | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-08 | PHI 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 07:01 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 07:20 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:34 | PHI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:30 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 15:43 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 4 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 2.7 - 2.8
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