Anaheim Ducks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-12-09 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 54.4%
ANA: 45.6%
Expected Goals
MTL: 2.41
ANA: 3.28
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | MTL | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.01 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • MTL at home vs ANA: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-02 | ANA 3 - 2 MTL | ANA | ANA |
| 2024-12-09 | MTL 3 - 2 ANA | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-02-13 | MTL 5 - 0 ANA | MTL | MTL |
| 2023-11-22 | ANA 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:36 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 10:49 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:25 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 04:36 | MTL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MTL | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 2.4 - 3.3