Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

PIT: 41.3%

COL: 58.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.93

COL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs COL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PIT 2 - 6 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-16	COL 2 - 7 PIT	PIT	COL
2025-03-04	COL 4 - 1 PIT	COL	COL
2024-12-10	PIT 2 - 6 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-24	COL 5 - 4 PIT	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	12	0	0.56
1	COL	13	1	0.85
2	PIT	10	1	0.75
2	COL	8	0	0.71
3	PIT	20	0	1.47
3	COL	10	3	1.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2