Colorado Avalanche at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 46.6%
COL: 53.4%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.15
COL: 3.30
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 58%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
| Stat | PIT | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.951 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.692 | 0.865 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PIT at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | PIT 2 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-16 | COL 2 - 7 PIT | PIT | COL |
| 2025-03-04 | COL 4 - 1 PIT | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-10 | PIT 2 - 6 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-03-24 | COL 5 - 4 PIT | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:31 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:22 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 05:46 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 07:21 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:53 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:23 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:21 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:08 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 53.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 6 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.1 - 3.3
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