San Jose Sharks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

CAR: 79.5%

SJS: 20.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 4.39

SJS: 2.15

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

CAR

Pyotr Kochetkov - 6-2-0 | 0.899 SV% | 2.33 GAA

SJS

Vitek Vanecek - 17-9-3 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Pyotr Kochetkov	23	21	2	91.3%	2.17	0	0.17
SJS	Vitek Vanecek	28	25	3	89.3%	3.72	5	0.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CAR at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	CAR 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	CAR
2025-10-14	SJS 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-20	SJS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-10	CAR 3 - 2 SJS	CAR	CAR
2023-10-27	CAR 3 - 0 SJS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	2	1.10
1	SJS	12	0	0.60
2	CAR	13	0	0.98
2	SJS	11	0	0.96
3	CAR	19	3	1.63
3	SJS	8	0	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.4 - 2.1