Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

NYI: 41.9%

LAK: 58.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.00

LAK: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	30	27	3	90.0%	3.68	2	0.68
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	20	19	1	95.0%	2.37	1	1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NYI at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	6	0	0.44
1	LAK	19	0	1.19
2	NYI	14	1	0.81
2	LAK	21	1	1.58
3	NYI	14	0	1.11
3	LAK	9	1	0.92

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2