Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 52.8%
LAK: 47.2%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.70
LAK: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | NYI | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • NYI at home vs LAK: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-11 | LAK 4 - 1 NYI | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-12-10 | NYI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | NYI |
| 2024-03-11 | LAK 3 - 0 NYI | LAK | LAK |
| 2023-12-09 | NYI 3 - 2 LAK | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:51 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 09:47 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 03:09 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 19:46 | LAK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2