Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 53.5%
CGY: 46.5%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.09
CGY: 2.95
Total Goals
Median: 6.1
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NSH at home vs CGY: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | CGY 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-02 | NSH 5 - 1 CGY | NSH | CGY |
| 2025-11-01 | NSH 4 - 2 CGY | NSH | CGY |
| 2025-01-04 | CGY 1 - 4 NSH | NSH | CGY |
| 2024-12-10 | NSH 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 10 | 0 | 0.72 |
| 1 | CGY | 14 | 0 | 0.67 |
| 2 | NSH | 7 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 2 | CGY | 25 | 0 | 1.24 |
| 3 | NSH | 11 | 2 | 1.04 |
| 3 | CGY | 6 | 0 | 0.48 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9
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