Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 8 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

WPG: 70.2%

BOS: 29.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 4.22

BOS: 2.16

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 50%

Over 6.5: 36%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	24	23	1	95.8%	2.67	0	1.67
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	35	27	8	77.1%	3.32	2	-4.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	BOS 6 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG
2025-12-11	WPG 3 - 6 BOS	BOS	WPG
2025-01-30	BOS 2 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-10	WPG 8 - 1 BOS	WPG	WPG
2024-01-22	BOS 4 - 1 WPG	BOS	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	20	2	1.48
1	BOS	14	0	0.69
2	WPG	12	0	0.54
2	BOS	17	0	1.11
3	WPG	18	0	1.30
3	BOS	15	0	0.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 8 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 4.2 - 2.2