Minnesota Wild at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2024-12-10 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 55.1%
MIN: 44.9%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.91
MIN: 3.16
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
| Stat | UTA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.912 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.895 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.943 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.47 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • UTA at home vs MIN: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | MIN 2 - 6 UTA | UTA | MIN |
| 2025-02-27 | UTA 6 - 1 MIN | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-01-23 | MIN 0 - 4 UTA | UTA | MIN |
| 2024-12-20 | MIN 1 - 2 UTA | UTA | MIN |
| 2024-12-10 | UTA 4 - 5 MIN | MIN | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:46 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 14:25 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 15:01 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 04:42 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:39 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 09:54 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 11:45 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:16 | UTA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2