Minnesota Wild at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2024-12-10 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 51.8%

MIN: 48.2%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.91

MIN: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 38%

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	40	35	5	87.5%	5.10	5	0.10
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	27	23	4	85.2%	3.37	3	-0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs MIN: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	MIN 5 - 0 UTA	MIN	MIN
2026-02-27	UTA 5 - 2 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-10-25	MIN 2 - 6 UTA	UTA	MIN
2025-02-27	UTA 6 - 1 MIN	UTA	UTA
2025-01-23	MIN 0 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	10	0	0.54
1	MIN	25	0	0.90
2	UTA	9	1	0.84
2	MIN	17	0	0.92
3	UTA	14	2	1.44
3	MIN	18	4	2.09
4	UTA	5	0	0.36
4	MIN	3	0	0.21
5	UTA	3	0	0.19
5	MIN	2	1	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 2.9