New York Rangers at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-12-11 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 3 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 58.8%

NYR: 41.2%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.27

NYR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NYR: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	NYR 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-01-08	NYR 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-10-09	BUF 0 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-22	BUF 8 - 2 NYR	BUF	BUF
2024-12-11	BUF 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	14	1	0.79
1	NYR	16	0	0.75
2	BUF	15	0	0.77
2	NYR	18	0	0.95
3	BUF	24	0	1.56
3	NYR	10	2	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 3 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0