Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-12-11 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

OTT: 70.1%

ANA: 29.9%

Expected Goals

OTT: 4.02

ANA: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	21	3	2.26
1	ANA	14	0	0.39
2	OTT	13	0	0.81
2	ANA	18	0	0.96
3	OTT	11	1	0.85
3	ANA	8	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 5 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.0 - 2.7