Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-12-12 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

NJD: 57.1%

LAK: 42.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.40

LAK: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

LAK

David Rittich - 16-14-2 | 0.886 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	14	13	1	92.9%	1.94	0	0.94
LAK	David Rittich	26	23	3	88.5%	2.22	1	-0.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NJD at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NJD 6 - 4 LAK	NJD	NJD
2025-11-01	LAK 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	LAK
2025-01-01	LAK 3 - 0 NJD	LAK	LAK
2024-12-12	NJD 3 - 1 LAK	NJD	NJD
2024-03-03	LAK 5 - 1 NJD	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.45
1	LAK	8	0	0.52
2	NJD	14	0	0.58
2	LAK	12	0	0.79
3	NJD	12	1	1.20
3	LAK	9	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8